Lebanon vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
LBN
1 - 1
SGP
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
UAE
2 - 1
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
LBN
0 - 0
JOR
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1997 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
LBN
1 - 0
JOR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
SLE
2 - 1
LBY
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBY
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
MLI
2 - 3
LBY
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CIV
1 - 1
LBY
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |