Lebanon vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UAE
4 - 2
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 1
KOR
12%
23%
65%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHN
3 - 1
JOR
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
IRN
2 - 2
JOR
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
JOR
2 - 0
SGP
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SGP
0 - 3
JOR
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |