Lebanon vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
PLE
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LBN
1 - 1
EQG
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KGZ
0 - 0
LBN
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
LBN
2 - 0
AFG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JOR
4 - 0
HKG
70%
20%
9%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
0 - 1
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
TWN
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
HKG
2 - 0
SGP
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |