Lebanon vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LBN
0 - 2
KSA
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
BHR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
AUS
3 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
UZB
0 - 0
LBN
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PRK
0 - 6
QAT
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
KSA
4 - 0
PRK
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BHR
4 - 0
PRK
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
VIE
1 - 1
PRK
34%
25%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
0 - 2
PRK
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |