Nykøbing FC vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
12º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOB
2 - 1
LFA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LFA
3 - 0
FCH
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HVI
3 - 1
LFA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LFA
3 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AKA
2 - 1
LFA
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 0
HBK
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HBK
0 - 0
VEJ
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 4
HBK
58%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HBK
5 - 0
AKA
36%
24%
41%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
OST
0 - 2
HBK
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |