Leyton Orient vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
LEY
1 - 2
BRO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SCU
2 - 0
LEY
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
LEY
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LEY
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LEY
3 - 0
TOW
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 2
NEW
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
MOR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 0
SAL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAL
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |