Leyton Orient vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
MKD
2 - 3
LEY
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
4 - 1
BRO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
3 - 0
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
LEY
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 0
BHA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 0
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
ARS
19%
21%
60%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
HUR
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |