Lex XI vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 3
RTW
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MYN
4 - 3
LEX
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 1
GCF
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LEX
3 - 1
LLU
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LEX
0 - 0
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
PRE
5 - 2
POR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
BAN
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
POR
5 - 3
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |