Lex XI vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 2
RTW
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 4
LLA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
LEX
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
5 - 0
LEX
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
1 - 3
LEX
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 8
FLI
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HOL
2 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 3
MOL
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
LLA
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LLA
5 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |