Lex XI vs Mynydd Isa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
4 - 0
LEX
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRE
5 - 0
LEX
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LEX
2 - 5
GFC
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
RTW
2 - 2
LEX
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LEX
2 - 2
PEN
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mynydd Isa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
MYN
6 - 1
QPA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GUI
4 - 0
MYN
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MYN
5 - 2
GRE
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MYN
1 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
3 - 1
MYN
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |