Lex XI vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 1
LEX
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 3
BFC
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 1
LEX
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 3
LEX
45%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RTW
1 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
BUC
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
HOL
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
HOL
5 - 1
CAE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LLA
4 - 0
HOL
86%
9%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
HOL
5 - 0
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |