Lex XI vs Glan Conwy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LEX
3 - 1
LLU
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LEX
0 - 0
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 3
LEX
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LEX
4 - 2
LLA
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
MOL
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |