Lex XI vs Corwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 3
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 2
LLA
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
4 - 2
MOL
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 3
GUI
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAT
6 - 1
LEX
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Corwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COR
2 - 3
PRE
22%
20%
58%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
COR
1 - 2
GWA
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |