Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
LEW
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 0
LEW
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
LEW
1 - 0
COR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LEW
2 - 3
CRA
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 0
LEW
69%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 1
WIN
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 1
WIN
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 1
HAY
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 2
BIS
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
WIN
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |