FA Cup 1/1024
Global 3-2
Lewes vs Kings Langley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
1 - 1
LEW
30%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 2
ENF
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
1 - 1
FAR
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 2
LEW
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
LEW
8 - 1
MOL
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kings Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
1 - 1
LEW
30%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
2 - 2
TIV
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
3 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
KIN
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 0
KIN
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |