Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-3
Levski Sofia vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
LSO
7 - 0
SVE
91%
8%
2%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VID
1 - 6
LSO
12%
22%
66%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LPL
3 - 2
LSO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 4
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BBL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |