Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 0-2
Levski Sofia vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
SSO
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ETA
0 - 3
LSO
12%
23%
66%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 0
LUD
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
BER
3 - 3
LSO
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 3
LSO
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
FCI
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
FCI
0 - 1
ZHE
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FCI
3 - 1
AKZ
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCI
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FCI
2 - 2
SHA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |