Levadia vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
2º
1º
15
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 72 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 39 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 30 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
LEV
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 1
RIG
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
PAI
0 - 3
LEV
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 1
TRA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TAL
3 - 1
HJP
23%
21%
56%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
HJP
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |