Levadia vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
2º
1º
15
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
67% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 2
KAL
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
LEV
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
HKR
4 - 1
LEV
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEV
12%
18%
70%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
BAY
1 - 1
LEV
29%
22%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 2
EPF
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
3 - 2
NOM
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FSM
4 - 1
HJP
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
KUR
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |