Latvia U19 vs Germany U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 0
LVA
75%
15%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LVA
2 - 1
BLR
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GER
5 - 0
LVA
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 1
LVA
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
3 - 5
ISR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
GER
6 - 0
KAZ
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
GER
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
AUT
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
UKR
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
SRB
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |