Letonia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Letonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
POL
3 - 1
LVA
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
POR
3 - 0
LVA
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
LVA
0 - 0
SVK
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 3
LVA
26%
23%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
LVA
0 - 4
RUS
14%
18%
68%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
GER
0 - 1
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
SYM
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
ITA
40%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
SUI
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |