Latvia U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 0
SMR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 1
GEO
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
LVA
3 - 0
MKD
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
56%
23%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 1
UKR
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
0 - 2
ITA
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |