Lesotho vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GHA
7 - 0
LSO
79%
16%
5%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
14%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SDN
0 - 3
ZAM
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SDN
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 1
BFA
42%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 2
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |