Lesotho vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
GAB
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 0
LSO
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
MAR
6%
18%
77%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CTA
3 - 1
LSO
21%
22%
58%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 3
ANG
16%
26%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 1
NAM
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZIM
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 2
KEN
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CMR
1 - 0
NAM
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
5 - 0
NAM
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -2 |