Lesotho vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
LSO
1 - 1
BOT
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
4 - 1
LSO
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 3
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 1
NAM
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NAM
1 - 1
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RWA
3 - 0
NAM
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 3
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |