Lesotho vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 2
ETH
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
SYC
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SYC
2 - 0
LSO
22%
22%
55%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZIM
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
GHA
10%
21%
69%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RWA
5 - 0
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 0
RWA
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 5
KEN
26%
28%
47%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |