Lernayin vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
80
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 0
LER
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
BKM
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
ALA
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
LER
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NOA
2 - 0
LER
39%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOA
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 3
PYU
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 1
SHI
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 3
PYU
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
PYU
1 - 0
GAZ
30%
24%
46%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |