Lernayin vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
40
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
LER
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
LER
4 - 1
GAN
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 2
LER
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 2
LER
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
VAN
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
NOA
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
VAN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
VAN
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |