Lernayin vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LER
2 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 0
LER
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 3
LER
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
BKM
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
SHI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
AVA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |