Lernayin vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
10º
66
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOA
0 - 1
LER
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
VAN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
LER
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
LER
4 - 1
GAN
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
ARA
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 4
ALA
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 1
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
HAM
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
PYU
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |