Lerchenfeld vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
5 - 2
LER
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MUT
4 - 0
LER
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LER
1 - 1
FCA
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 1
LER
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LER
0 - 2
BIN
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 2
MUT
36%
21%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
4 - 4
BUB
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BIN
4 - 1
FCS
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
5 - 2
MOU
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |