Lerchenfeld vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
THI
5 - 0
LER
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LER
1 - 3
LAU
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
LER
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LER
3 - 3
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUM
2 - 2
LER
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 5
POR
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LYS
1 - 2
FCL
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 3
DUR
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SEC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |