Lerchenfeld vs Langnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TPA
3 - 1
LER
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 0
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LER
2 - 2
FCK
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LER
3 - 1
SEC
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Langnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 2
BER
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCL
4 - 1
ROM
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 0
FCL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
THI
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BUM
3 - 2
FCL
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |