Lerchenfeld vs Courgenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIE
3 - 3
LER
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LER
2 - 3
OLD
29%
21%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
DOR
4 - 2
LER
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LER
2 - 0
MOU
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FCP
0 - 2
LER
40%
21%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Courgenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 2
MOU
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
COR
0 - 5
FCC
38%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |