Lepe PMD vs S. Bartolome analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lepe PMD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LPE
0 - 0
VIL
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
LPE
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LPE
3 - 2
LAP
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 2
LPE
36%
22%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LPE
1 - 0
ROC
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
S. Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PLU
3 - 0
SBA
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SBA
1 - 1
PUM
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDH
0 - 1
SBA
55%
20%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
SBA
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SBA
0 - 4
JUA
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |