Leotar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
11º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
LEO
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 0
ZEL
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BBL
2 - 0
LEO
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 1
IGM
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 3
SAR
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
POS
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |