Leonidas vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ELI
2 - 4
LEO
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
HIL
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
EDO
3 - 1
LEO
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DEZ
0 - 2
LEO
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WES
1 - 0
LEO
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NIE
3 - 3
EDO
50%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 1
NIE
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
NIE
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NIE
0 - 0
DEZ
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
KON
4 - 0
NIE
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |