Leones Negros II vs UA Chihuahua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TDS
1 - 0
LEO
15%
18%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
MIN
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 2
LEO
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MZA
1 - 2
LEO
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TIJ
3 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CSL
0 - 1
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |