Leones Negros II vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
12º
6º
20
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 0
LCU
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
LEO
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 1
EST
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LEO
73%
17%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 0
MIN
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 3
RAF
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 0
TDA
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LCU
2 - 2
RAF
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
RAF
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |