Leones Negros II vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
9º
5º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
LCU
2 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZAC
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 1
ADG
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
ADG
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
CIM
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |