León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
LEO
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 3
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
LEO
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
AME
5 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |