León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 0
MER
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 2
LEO
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 2
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
ZAC
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
AME
4 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |