León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
AME
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 0
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 3
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |