León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
84%
11%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
LEO
19%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TIG
3 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |