León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
LEO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LEO
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
5 - 1
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIJ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
7 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |