León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 0
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
QRO
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
3 - 0
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |