Liga MX Finals - Apertura Knock-outs Final
Global 3-1
León vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 1
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
PUM
4 - 0
CAZ
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
PUM
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |