León vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
COB
2 - 4
LEO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MEX
3 - 1
LEO
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 4
MER
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
ORI
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 0
MEX
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
MER
1 - 2
ORI
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ORI
4 - 2
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 1
ORI
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |