Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
León vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 1
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
PAC
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
LEO
25%
24%
50%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
PAC
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |