León vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
LEO
19%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TIG
3 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 1
LEO
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 0
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 5
ZAC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |